I appreciate Jordan Carter’s response to my blog post on the ETS. While we disagree on a fair number of issues, I always feel like I can have a intelligent conversation about things with him, and that he’ll answer honestly what he thinks, even when this doesn’t flatter Labour.
I thought that my response was harsh, but not unfair. I don’t like taking pot-shots at people, and wouldn’t have written it if I felt I was doing so. It was written out of frustration however, and I normally try and keep posts of frustration succinct - short rants are bad enough! The price for this however is that I didn’t get the chance to go into the detail I would have liked about my suggestions. I’m accused of being unreasonable, of wanting the pure driven snow in climate related policy, rather than dealing with than the more muddy reality.
There are a few climate related things that the current Government deserves credit for. The thermal moratorium is one. I’ve congratulated the Government in the past on my blog for doing so, and will do so again for things that deserve recognition. This morning Frog has revealed Government is considering ending the moratorium however…
Labour is constrained. Of course. But Labour is constrained in large part because of years in which it has consistently resisted making changes which would have created room to move on climate.
Take electricity prices for example. If you decide to put electricity into an emissions reductions instrument straight away, prices will rise, and people will be pissed off. They’ll be forced to use less electricity and endure cold winters, and their mood and health will suffer. The public, already struggling with interest rates, rising food and transport costs, and much else, will tell you they’re not happy, kick you out, and you’ll have a National Government, which will be worse for the climate and worse for people sitting in cold houses. I’m opposed to measures which hurt ordinary New Zealanders - I’m a environmentalist, not a sadist.
So what is my suggestion to this particular problem (and that of the Greens and others, who have been advocating this since 1999 and been ignored since 1999)? Insulation. Most of New Zealand’s houses are extremely poorly insulated. I count among my friends Swedish architects who’ve lived in Wellington - and their complaints about New Zealand’s cold houses are manifold. I know what its like to have the glass of water on your bedside table freeze overnight. Until recently, proper insulation was a mere afterthought for most houses.
By providing insulation you:
a) make people warmer and more comfortable and happier with their situation (and thus more likely to vote Labour)
b) reduce their heating bills
c)improve their health
d)reduce their doctors bills
e)reduce costs and strains on the health system from preventable diseases
f)improve Maori health and reduce the gap in life expectancy
g)reduce demand for electricity
h)reduce the strain on the national grid and the need for new generation capacity
i)and finally, you reduce greenhouse gas emissions
j)and means your Kyoto obligations are reduced, saving taxpayers money (I have no idea how much - it could be substantial, it could be insignificant)
The Government doesn’t have the money to insulate every house in NZ at once - the demands on a Government’s budget are essentially limitless, while money is quite limited. So you target this initiative to those who need it most first, with the promise that it will continue and eventually everybody will have insulated houses. You start where it’s coldest, probably Southland. Those who want it sooner will receive a partial subsidy and can pay for most of it themselves.
I should note that $1 billion would pay for 100,000 homes (at $10,000 per home - I have no idea if this is realistic, it could be half this, or twice this for all I know). This amount is half the price of a new tunnel, which will do nothing for the health of New Zealanders, and increase our ballooning greenhouse gas emissions.
I could do the same exercise for other potential initiatives - giving people money to go out and buy themselves a bike, for example. How cool would it be for the Government to work with bike retailers to provide a subsidy for purchase or maintenance of bikes? Imagine “a bike for every New Zealander”. After all, we already massively subsidise car users - by spending billions and billions on roads. Or perhaps increased funding of public transport, to take a less radical idea.
There are many initiatives that would or could gather public support, or at least require the spending of little political capital (considerably less than the Government is currently spending on a pathetic ETS)
The point of this is that Labour has put the cart before the horse - you support measures that reduce greenhouse gas emissions before you apply taxes. I’m not dumb enough to think that tackling climate change will be painless. Not every suggestion is sunshine and lollipops. I’m not suggesting that Labour would take every initiative the Greens suggest - just that it actually examine them seriously. Nor am I naive enough to think that a government inflicting pain on the population is electorally sustainable or something the Labour Party has any intention of doing. There are low hanging fruit, and the Government has been largely immune to advice on these issues for close to a decade now. The Government lies in a bed of its own making.
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